4/29/2029

Shareholder Activism in Asia Drives Global Total to Record High

Nikkei Asia (04/29/29) Shikata, Masayuki

Activist shareholders had their busiest year on record in 2024, with the Asia-Pacific region making up a fifth of campaigns worldwide, pushing some companies higher in the stock market and spurring others to consider going private. The worldwide tally of activist campaigns rose by six to 258, up by half from three years earlier, according to data from financial advisory Lazard. Campaigns in the Asia-Pacific tripled over that period to 57, growing about 30% on the year. Japan accounted for more than 60% of the regional total with 37, an all-time high. Activity is picking up this year as well in the run-up to general shareholders meetings in June. South Korea saw 14 campaigns, a jump of 10 from 2023. Critics say South Korean conglomerates are often controlled by minority investors that care too little about other shareholders. Australia and Hong Kong saw increases of one activist campaign each. North America made up half the global total, down from 60% in 2022 and 85% in 2014. Europe had 62 campaigns last year. The upswing in Japan has been fueled by the push for corporate governance reform since 2013 and the Tokyo Stock Exchange's 2023 call for companies to be more mindful of their share prices. The bourse has encouraged corporations to focus less on share buybacks and dividends than on steps for long-term growth, such as capital spending and the sale of unprofitable businesses. Demands for capital allocation to improve return on investment accounted for 51% of activist activity in Japan last year, significantly higher than the five-year average of 32%. U.S.-based Dalton Investments called on Japanese snack maker Ezaki Glico (2206) to amend its articles of incorporation to allow shareholder returns to be decided by investors as well, not just the board of directors. Though the proposal was rejected, it won more than 40% support, and Glico itself put forward a similar measure that was approved at the following general shareholders meeting in March. U.K.-based Palliser Capital took a stake last year in developer Tokyo Tatemono (8804) and argued that more efficient use of its capital, such as selling a cross-held stake in peer Hulic, would boost corporate value. Activist investors are increasingly seeking to lock in unrealized gains from rising land prices, reaping quick profits from property sales that can go toward dividends. Companies in the Tokyo Stock Exchange's broad Topix index had 25.88 trillion yen ($181 billion at current rates) in unrealized gains on property holdings at the end of March 2024, up about 20% from four years earlier. After buying into Mitsui Fudosan (8801) in 2024, U.S.-based Elliott Investment Management this year took a stake in Sumitomo Realty & Development (8830) and is expected to push for the developer to sell real estate holdings. This month, Dalton sent a letter to Fuji Media Holdings (4676), parent of Fuji Television, calling for it to spin off its real estate business and replace its board of directors. Activist campaigns have sparked share price rallies at some companies. Shares of elevator maker Fujitec (6406) were up roughly 80% from March 2023, when it dismissed Takakazu Uchiyama -- a member of the founding family -- as chairman under pressure from Oasis Management. The rise in demands from activists "creates a sense of tension among management, including at companies that don't receive such proposals," said Masatoshi Kikuchi, chief equity strategist at Mizuho Securities. Previously tight cross-shareholdings are being unwound, and reasonable proposals from minority investors are more likely to garner support from foreign shareholders. Some companies are going private to shield themselves from perceived pressure. Investments by buyout funds targeting mature companies in the Asia-Pacific were the highest in three years in 2024, according to Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. Toyota Industries (6201) is considering going this route after facing pressure from investment funds last year to take steps such as dissolving a parent-child listing with a subsidiary and buying back more shares. Toyota Industries holds a 9% stake in Toyota Motor (7203). The automaker "may have proposed having [Toyota Industries] go private as a precautionary measure," said a source at an investment bank.

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1/6/2026

US Activist Investors Target UK Companies at Record Levels in 2025

Investment Week (01/06/26) Nelson, Michael

The UK retained its place as the most targeted country in Europe for activist investors, with companies facing record levels of U.S. activist pressure in 2025. According to Alvarez & Marsal's (A&M) latest A&M Activist Alert Outlook, 41% of all public activist campaigns in the UK were launched by U.S. funds – a record – while 31% of all activist campaigns initiated in Europe also targeted UK companies. However, the 39 activist cases launched in Europe engaging UK firms last year marked a drop from the 50 that took place in 2024. Activists chose not to interfere as much with company management teams, instead preferring to launch campaigns based on operational underperformance and use of capital, which represented 23% and 20% of demands, respectively, up from 20% and 19% in 2024, the report found. ESG-focused campaigns also increased in 2025, representing 14% of campaigns, up from 9% the year prior. Strong shareholder rights and perceived low valuations have also been driving further interest, the firm noted. "Even in volatile times, investors expect companies to adapt and outperform after the initial shock subsides," said André Medeiros, managing director and co-head of consumer and retail, EMEA, at A&M. "Boards only have a short window to set out their stall before investor scrutiny and challenges return." Companies in the consumer sector remained in the spotlight in 2025, accounting for 21% of campaigns in 2025, up from 19% in 2024, driven by a range of demands, including agitation from activists for improved returns on capital invested, A&M found. The firm noted this pressure is expected to increase in 2026, with 41 companies identified as being at risk, including in sub-sectors such as apparel, retail and personal care, where activists are expected to look closely at companies that fail to capitalize on improving household budgets. Industrials companies are also expected to face more activist attention in the face of challenges attributed to tariffs and international trade dynamics. Combined with the creative disruption being generated by AI and other geopolitical uncertainties, investors will look to executive teams to clearly demonstrate how they are navigating these opportunities and challenges to outperform, the report stated. A&M managing director Malcolm McKenzie explained: "In this AI world, investors are often scrutinizing companies' investment strategies as closely as their financials. This year, corporates need to be creative, imaginative and, above all, action oriented."

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1/6/2026

Law Firms Nab Activism Defense Stars as Competition Heats Up

Bloomberg Law (01/06/26) Hutchinson, Drew

Attorneys who specialize in defending companies against activist investors are in high demand, fueling partner moves that have boosted existing leaders such as Sidley Austin and helped other firms like Skadden become more entrenched in these specialties. Firm migration among activism attorneys has been ticking up for a couple of years with hiring that included longtime investor-side adviser Elizabeth Gonzalez-Sussman’s 2024 jump to represent companies at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP. Last year was no different: Firms were asking for specialists—not dabblers—as they looked for lawyers, said legal recruiter Avery Ellis, managing partner at CenterPeak LLC. The need to bolster activism defense practices stems from a rapidly changing regulatory environment governing shareholder engagement—but also the swell of activist investors, such as hedge funds, looking to influence companies on operational and financial matters, said Columbia law professor Eric Talley. “There’s been a big uptick in activism practice and with it, kind of a bidding war for the best activism-oriented attorneys out there,” he said. Activists launched 763 new campaigns in 2025, a slight uptick from the previous year’s 753, according to Bloomberg data known as league tables. Elliott Investment Management exemplified both sides of this legal work in 2025. Olshan Frome Wolosky LLP helped the hedge fund engage PepsiCo Inc. (PEP), and Skadden defended Honeywell International Inc. (HON) from Elliott in the first half of the year. The Bloomberg data relies partially on law firm submissions, which catapulted Japan-based Nishimura & Asahi into third place for engagements this year after submitting its non-public work for the first time. Sidley Austin LLP held its years-long top spot as the busiest shareholder activism defense firm. Meanwhile, Latham & Watkins LLP rose to second place, up from third last year. Skadden earned the top spot for the value of campaign stakes, which represents the value of shares investors held in companies facing investor action. That’s due in part to Gonzalez-Sussman joining the firm, where she led Skadden’s existing experts to forge a formal shareholder activism unit. “When you’re dealing with a large-cap company, that’s why your numbers go up,” she said of Skadden’s $11 billion in campaign stakes. “When they’re hit with a very big activist, we’re perfectly primed to do it. That’s why our numbers in total may be lower but our dollar amounts really demonstrate that we’re representing the most high-profile activist campaigns.” Other notable personnel changes: Carmen Lu joined Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP as an activism defense partner last January after eight years at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz. One month later, White & Case LLP brought on Richard Brand from Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP as its global shareholder engagement head. It marked the firm’s first foray into activist-side work in the U.S. Sullivan & Cromwel LLP moved up the 2025 list of rankings after picking up two shareholder activism co-chairs from Vinson & Elkins LLP, and Sidley Austin LLP added a former Skadden activism defense partner. Firms view activism defense in different ways. It can bolster relationships with companies and funnel business into other practice areas, or it can be a specialty that carries its own weight. “You want specialists,” said Kai Liekefett, co-chair of Sidley’s shareholder activism and corporate defense practice. “If you have heart problems, would you rather go to a heart surgeon or a general practitioner?” When firms are looking for new talent, they often want people who’ve worked exclusively with either companies or activists, Ellis said. Practices themselves are often the same, either representing one or the other. But corporations and activist investors are so well-capitalized these days that representing either side feels like general commercial litigation, Talley said. Firms realize they have a lot to gain from both blue-chip companies and sophisticated investment funds. White & Case is taking a dual-sided approach, with Brand and his team representing both boards and investors. “It gives us a unique perspective,” Brand said. “If you have well-rounded corporate lawyers working on activism matters, they’re going to be more effective as advisers.” Activism is closely tied to other areas of corporate law. Lu, who joined Paul Weiss to meet client demand for shareholder activism expertise, says the firm’s M&A practice creates new clients, and vice versa. Deals close, activists pounce on the new entities, and companies need representation. Latham & Watkins has a similar dynamic. The firm serves as primary corporate governance counsel for more than 400 public companies, so shareholder activism defense growth is a testament to the firm’s overall expertise, said Christopher Drewry, global co-chair of Latham’s shareholder activism and corporate defense practice. “We’re at the top of the league tables in all of these areas,” he said. “If you treat activism as this own special thing rather than as a broader perspective,” clients lose out. Sometimes, law firms invest in activism defense experts but don’t formalize the practice group. Wachtell Lipton views itself as a board and company adviser, and shareholder activism defense is a natural outgrowth, said Elina Tetelbaum, head of activism defense. Activist-side firm Olshan is an example of a specialized operation—and it’s working out great, said Andrew Freedman, chair of its shareholder activism practice. “Because this is all we do, we’re very unique,” he said. To complement the activism practice and drive new business, the firm plans to launch a fund formation group this year, Freedman said. The practice would help clients create hedge funds or additional investment vehicles, he said. Activism defense will only become more important as more first-time activists engage with companies, Liekefett said. While the past year was the busiest he’d seen, boards are still underestimating the threat activist investors present, he said. Attorneys eyeing the space will need empathy, well-roundedness, and the ability “to be a therapist to some degree,” Liekefett said. “Most of your clients will face enormous stress,” he said.

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1/5/2026

Citgo Is a Crown Jewel of Venezuela’s Oil Industry. Elliott Is Set to Reap the Benefits

Wall Street Journal (01/05/26) Morenne, Benoît

For Elliott Investment Management, Nicolás Maduro’s swift exit comes at an auspicious time. A U.S. judge in November backed a roughly $6 billion bid by Elliott for Citgo Petroleum, the refining firm owned by Venezuela’s state-run company Petróleos de Venezuela, known as PdVSA, in a forced sale to satisfy creditors. Citgo, based in Houston, owns a U.S. network of refineries, pipelines and terminals that some analysts have said could be worth between $11 billion and $13 billion. The deal was controversial in Venezuela. Maduro’s government denounced the proposed sale as fraudulent. The board recognized by the U.S. government as the legitimate overseer of PdVSA’s overseas oil assets vowed to fight to keep Citgo under Venezuelan control. Less than two months after receiving the judge’s endorsement, Elliott is looking at a more favorable—albeit chaotic—landscape. Maduro is being held in a New York jail. President Trump has sidelined the opposition, accused Venezuela of stealing American crude and said U.S. firms would be strongly involved in its oil industry. Now, Elliott appears poised to reap the rewards of owning Venezuela’s most valuable foreign oil asset. The regime change could lead to an increase in Venezuelan oil production, which would likely provide cheap feedstock to Citgo’s Gulf Coast refineries and increase the company’s value, analysts and refining experts said. “Maduro is out, so a lot of the threat is out,” said Jay Auslander, a litigator who represents sovereign interests and private-equity funds. “It looks like a potentially quite good deal that remains high risk.” Elliott isn’t in the clear yet. The hedge fund still needs approval from the Treasury Department to conclude the deal. Plus, PdVSA and Venezuela have appealed the judicial sale. The appeal is likely to be decided in the first half of the year, and the sale can then close if the Treasury has approved it, according to people familiar with the situation. Elliott sees an alignment between the sale, which was held to satisfy some of Venezuela’s creditors, and the White House’s articulated goals of getting U.S. companies repaid for Venezuela’s previous asset seizures. Elliott has a history of clinching lucrative deals in risky locales. After Argentina defaulted on its sovereign debt in 2001, most foreign bondholders settled for pennies on the dollar, but Elliott held firm. The hedge fund spent tens of millions of dollars on a legal, lobbying and PR blitz around the world to make the country pay. The efforts eventually led to a $2 billion payday. People walk past a billboard in Caracas that reads "Give Citgo back to the Venezuelans. Vice Presidency of the working class PDVSA." After Maduro’s capture, some Republicans have sought to draw attention to Elliott’s dealings. Kentucky congressman Thomas Massie, a Trump critic, said Sunday on X that according to Grok, xAI’s chatbot, Elliott’s billionaire founder Paul Singer “stands to make billions of dollars on his distressed Citgo investment, now that this administration has taken over Venezuela.” Massie said Singer, an influential GOP donor, has already spent $1 million to defeat him in the next election. Last year, Singer gave $1 million to MAGA KY, a super PAC seeking to oust Massie, according to a filing. The investor donated about $8 million to help Trump get re-elected, and he contributed $1 million to Trump’s inaugural committee, filings show. With Citgo, Elliott is set to get its hands on one of the crown jewels of Venezuela’s energy empire. PDVSA first purchased a stake in Citgo in the 1980s before acquiring it in full in 1990. After Maduro succeeded Hugo Chávez as Venezuela’s president in 2013, continued mismanagement and under investment sapped Venezuela’s oil production. Citgo and its three U.S. refineries, which today have a combined total refining capacity of about 807,000 barrels a day, became a critical source of petrodollar revenue for Maduro’s government. That lifeline was severed in 2019. Trump enacted economic sanctions against PDVSA in a bid to empower the opposition and cripple Maduro’s regime. His administration placed control of Citgo with U.S.-backed opposition leaders and shielded it from the claims of creditors owed money by the bankrupt government in Caracas. But the opposition’s efforts to unseat Maduro failed. In 2023, the Biden administration indicated it would no longer protect Citgo from seizure, backing a forced sale of the company to satisfy the creditors, which included miner Crystallex International (CRYFQ) and oil-and-gas producer ConocoPhillips (COP). Several firms including Elliott’s affiliate Amber Energy placed bids for Citgo, with the sale proceeds earmarked for certain creditors of the refiner’s ultimate owner, the Venezuelan government. After a tortuous and contested process, a federal judge endorsed a roughly $6 billion bid by Amber. Elliott is contributing about one-third of the equity and is working with a consortium of investors, the people familiar with the situation said. Elliott sees Citgo’s refineries as good investments that it wants to hold for a while, the people said. It sees itself as a well-capitalized investor that is going to increase production of gasoline and help with the White House’s goals to keep fuel prices down. Apollo Global Management is leading debt financing for the deal, a person close to that company said. Charles Kemp, a vice president at energy consulting firm Baker & O’Brien and a former strategic planning engineer at Citgo, said opening up the floodgates of Venezuela’s production would translate into more crude making it to Gulf Coast refiners, including Citgo, at a time when these firms are looking for new sources of heavy oil. Citgo’s refineries are designed for heavy sour crude from Venezuela but since the 2019 sanctions have been running a mixture of crude from Canada and Latin American countries such as Brazil and Ecuador. “You want the cheapest, nastiest crude others can’t run,” Kemp said. “It’s definitely going to help them.” For some political experts, the sale of Citgo’s U.S. refineries would amount to Venezuela’s crude losing a guaranteed gateway to the American market. “It would be a good strategic asset to have to be able to sell some extra heavy oil in the U.S’s market,” said Francisco Monaldi, director of the Latin America Energy Program at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. Alternatively, Venezuela could sign long-term contracts with American refiners, he said.

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1/5/2026

Shareholder Activism Worked in 2025. The Surge Will Continue This Year

Barron's (01/05/26) Alpert, Bill

It’s been hard for a stockpicker to beat the tech-driven gains of indexes and passive funds in recent years. One strategy investors have turned to is activist investing, where a hedge fund buys into a company and seeks new management, spinoffs, or a merger. Veteran investor funds like Elliott Investment Management and Starboard Value were among the busiest, but nearly 30% of the funds launching campaigns last year were first-timers—according to a review of 2025 activism released Monday by Barclays Bank (BARC). Last year proved a great setup for activism, said report author Jim Rossman, who heads Barclays shareholder advisory group. “Just about everything worked in their favor in 2025,” Rossman said. In the first part of the year, worries about President Donald Trump’s tariffs knocked stock values down to attractive entry points for those with activist plans. As the year progressed, the administration’s receptivity to mergers and acquisitions emboldened activists to drive deals. Merger campaigns accelerated through the year. Initiatives that demanded some kind of M&A comprised 35% of all initiatives in the first half of 2025, and 54% in the second half. The 61% of campaigns with an M&A thesis in the fourth quarter was the highest level in five years, the Barclays report said. In September, for example, Elliott launched a campaign for divestitures and improved operations at food conglomerate PepsiCo (PEP). The mining firm Barrick Mining (B) said last month that it would consider an initial offering of its North American gold assets, following Elliott’s November call for a breakup. Starboard pushed in October for the engineering firm Fluor (FLR) to sell its stake in NuScale Power (SMR), a developer of small modular nuclear reactors. In November, Fluor said it would monetize its NuScale holdings this year. All told, the number of activist campaigns last year rose to a record 255 worldwide, up about 5% from 2024. The number in the United States rose 23% from 2024, to 141. There were 142 unique activist firms waging campaigns in 2025, with Elliott easily taking the top spot by deploying $19 billion in 18 new campaigns during the year, the report said. A distant second was Starboard, putting $2 billion into 11 campaigns. HoldCo Asset Management was busy pushing for change at regional banks such as KeyCorp. A notable development in activist M&A initiatives last year was the teaming up of activists with private-equity firms and traditional fund managers, Rossman said. After Corvex Management disclosed its 4.9% position in the recruiting firm Heidrick & Struggles, the recruiter agreed to an October buyout by Corvex’s private equity unit and Advent International. In December, mutual fund manager Janus Henderson agreed to be bought by General Catalyst, after a Trian Partners campaign resulted in the departure of Janus’ CEO. Barclays thinks activists and acquirers will be motivated to get deals done before congressional midterm elections this year potentially weaken the Trump administration’s laissez-faire hand. “There are going to be a lot of opportunities for companies to go private, make dispositions and spinoffs,” Rossman said. “Activists are going to point the way.”

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1/4/2026

Activist Investors Set Record Number of Campaigns in 2025, Barclays Data Show

Reuters (01/04/26) Herbst-Bayliss, Svea

Activist investors who push companies to perform better launched a record number of campaigns in 2025, according to Barclays (BARC) data, as market volatility, favorable financing conditions and more deal activity made for ideal conditions to lobby for changes. In 2025, blue-chip investors including Elliott Investment Management as well as a sizable number of newcomers launched 255 engagements on global companies to make operational improvements, change out board members, and even consider selling themselves. Well-known brands such as athleisure maker Lululemon Athletica (LULU), ride-hailing company Lyft (LYFT), soda and snack maker PepsiCo (PEP), and cooler and drinkware maker Yeti (YETI) found themselves facing corporate agitators. Last year's number of engagements marked a nearly 5% increase over 2024 and eclipsed the previous record of 249 made in 2018, the data showed. "We went from maximum uncertainty in the first half of 2025 to M&A markets and private equity interest rebounding in the second half of the year, which made it feel like everything is possible," said Jim Rossman, global head of shareholder advisory at Barclays. "It was a great time for the activists' toolkit." The bulk of activity with more than half of all global campaigns remained in the United States, where Barclays data shows 141 campaigns took place, representing a jump of 23% from the previous year. But Asian companies also drew activists' attention, with the data showing a record 56 campaigns in Japan. This made up half of global activity outside of the United States, Barclays said. The standout investor was Elliott, which launched 18 campaigns last year, spending nearly $20 billion in capital, Barclays data showed. In the fourth quarter alone, the hedge fund took on Lululemon, where it is urging the company to consider a former Ralph Lauren (RL) executive as its next CEO, and Barrick Mining (ABX), where it is calling on management to consider breaking the company apart. Over the year, Elliott won 17 board seats, including two at Phillips 66 (PSX), where investors voted to seat candidates proposed by the hedge fund. In recent years activist investors, once derisively called corporate raiders, gained fresh acceptance among corporate management as their returns improved and many tried to work with boards to help boost a company's share price. Still, Barclays data also showed that corporate agitators' patience with chief executives can quickly wear thin. Last year, a record 32 CEOs resigned within one year of an activist campaign. In 2024, 27 CEOs resigned, up from 24 who left in 2023 after pressure from an activist. "If executives don't perform, they are out," Barclays' Rossman said.

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1/4/2026

Investor Urges Corporate Japan to Get Over Bubble-Era ‘Trauma’

Financial Times (01/04/26) Keohane, David

Japan’s executives have to change their mindset and exert more pricing power as the country moves on from an era of deflation, one of its biggest independent asset managers has said. Shuhei Abe, founder of asset manager Sparx (8739), said he was looking to invest in companies and managers willing to emerge from a defensive crouch and raise prices in Japan’s changed economic landscape. “Investors in this country have waited for years for inflation to return and now the time has come,” he said in an interview in Tokyo. “One of the biggest catalysts for the coming years will be changes of management attitude.” His comments underline the change of mood among Japanese investors, who for years sought to pick stock market winners in an economy with barely any growth and entrenched deflation following the end of its asset price bubble in 1989. However, in 2025 Japan’s stock market index has climbed decisively beyond its previous peaks while rising inflation has allowed the central bank to raise interest rates to the highest level in 30 years. Managers of the previous era “suffered from the trauma of the past bubble” and had it instilled in them to cut debt and hoard capital rather than raise prices, Abe said. “Most of the top management guys who joined [Japanese companies] during this time were trained ... to reduce the debt, to not waste capital,” said Abe, a former employee of George Soros. “But finally, now, they have started to understand they cannot continue like they have over the past 30 years.” Sparx has ¥2 trillion ($12.7 billion) of assets under management. Among its investments Abe cites Morinaga (2201), a confectioner benefiting from Japan’s boom in inbound tourism, and Shoei (7839), a maker of premium motorcycle helmets, as benefiting from pricing power. Abe is also invested in Pilot (POGHF), one of the largest pen companies in the world, which has recently moved to satisfy some of Abe’s demands, raising the price of its best-selling pen in Japan by 10%. Most of Japan’s asset managers are riding the wave of stock price records over the past 18 months. Sparx, which was founded in 1989 just before the end of the bubble, managed in August to exceed its previous peak for assets under management, set 19 years earlier. Its funds have recorded, over their lifetimes, annualized returns of between 4.7% for its long-short fund and 11.4% for its active long-only strategy. The Topix returned about 4.6% over roughly the same period. Japan’s average annual growth was less than 1% for more than 30 years, Abe pointed out. “In this environment, it’s not easy to invest in any equity asset. So Sparx did very well in that sense. But, at the same time, no one else could do it, thus there was room for us.” Before founding Sparx, Abe was funded by Soros in 1985 to invest in Japanese railroad stock, in a bet that the market would start to apply more value to the sector’s vast real estate holdings — a variant on a strategy that some activists and private equity groups are using in Japan today. It is not just the end of a long period of stagnation that has put Japan back into investors’ sights. Regulators, the government, and the stock exchange are pushing companies to pay more attention to shareholders. The government is also pushing to improve the quality and quantity of asset managers, convinced that they are crucial to improving corporate performance and getting capital flowing. Abe expects that a wave of retail investors will come into the market, with the side-effect that companies will have a powerful new constituency pushing them to perform. “Individuals will move the market. Individuals will eventually be...a most powerful activist,” he said.

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1/3/2026

Why Activists Are Barging In on Britain’s Biggest Brands

Sunday Times (London) (01/03/26) Treanor, Jill

As chairman of the London-listed property company Palace Capital (PCA), dealing with the gripes of shareholders comes with the territory for Steven Owen. But receiving a letter from one of your biggest investors to say they want to boot you out of your job is perhaps not how he wanted to begin the year. The move by the Swiss-based Lake Street Capital Partners is emblematic of the sort of activism facing a growing number of companies — big and small — listed on the London Stock Exchange. FTSE 100 oil giant BP (BP) is widely believed to have accelerated the appointment of its new chief executive under pressure from Elliott, while Domino’s (DOM), the pizza delivery business, is facing calls from its own investor, Browning West, to return more cash to shareholders. More important, experts say this is just the tip of the iceberg and that more campaigns will emerge in 2026. Activists — many based in America — are primed to barge in on some of Britain’s biggest brands. On the face of it, the trend might seem counter-intuitive. London-listed stocks are riding high, with the FTSE 100 last year enjoying its best performance since 2009. On Friday, the blue-chip index extended its gains by touching 10,000 points for the first time. Yet the success of UK shares is the very reason for the growth in activist campaigns, say City advisers. Such a backdrop makes it easier for activists to pick out the underperforming companies on the market. Paul Kinrade, senior adviser at the professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal (A&M), said: “Activists want to see a positive market because they don’t fight against a tide; they’d rather run with a tide.” A&M’s annual assessment of activism, seen exclusively by The Sunday Times, said that while the number of activist campaigns fell last year, it expects a rise in engagements on London-listed companies this year — particularly those in the consumer sector. “The UK, already the most targeted geography in Europe, will become an even greater focus for active and activist investors,” said Kinrade. “This is partly driven by the activist investors returning to the market they know best when markets are in turmoil, but also as they move towards the consumer sector, where the UK market is overweight.” Companies reliant on consumers are already feeling the heat. As well as Domino’s, bakery chain Greggs (GRG) has two activists on its register after its shares plunged 40% last year. Silchester, renowned for its silent activism, has a 5% stake, while Singapore-based Lauro Asset Management is urging the chain to cut costs to avoid a takeover bid. In contrast, Upper Crust owner SSP (SSPG) is said to have been under pressure from New York investor Irenic Capital to find a takeover to boost its value. Then, as last year drew to a close, Premier Inn owner Whitbread (WTB) was pressed by investor Corvex to review its strategy. Falling interest rates, and hopes of increased consumer spending, explain why some of the big brands will be moved into the activists’ crosshairs, A&M said. Kinrade also pointed to the cost efficiencies that these consumer groups could find from artificial intelligence, which will be another point of focus for activists. “It’s about adoption and implementation of AI in those corporations in a super-efficient way and the opportunities it brings.” Experts say that more than 40% of the activism in London-listed companies last year was from American investors — the fifth successive rise, according to A&M — which is a trend that others expect to continue. Tom Matthews, head of the European activism practice at law firm White & Case, said: “The UK market has various features that are attractive to US investors: we speak the same language, have a common law system, are closer to them time-wise and have a relatively strong shareholder rights.” For instance, investors can call a vote with 5% stakes. The big American names rattling London-listed companies include Nelson Peltz’s Trian. The veteran investor has held a seat on the board of FTSE 100 consumer group Unilever (ULVR) since 2022 and last year was regarded as being instrumental in the spin-out of its ice cream business Magnum (MICC) on the Amsterdam stock exchange. These spin outs are classic examples of the type of action that activists demand in an attempt to release value and increase the company share price. Elliott provides another example. As well as pushing for changes at BP (BP), Elliott endorsed the effective break up of the London-listed industrial conglomerate Smiths (SMIN) through the sale of its electrical connectors business and its baggage scanners arm. But last year’s most notable intervention by an American investor was the attack on the investment trust sector by the poker-playing American hedge fund tycoon Boaz Weinstein and his firm Saba Capital. Weinstein has positions in as many as 30 investment trusts, one of which is the Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust (EWI), where he has forced a vote later this month to sack its entire board. Managed by the Scottish fund manager Baillie Gifford, EWIT is known for its investments in global companies, notably Elon Musk’s SpaceX. City sources said it is not just American investors who are making their presence known. Swedish investment firm Cevian has held a stake in FTSE 100 publisher Pearson (PSON) for five years and is pushing for changes at medical equipment maker Smith & Nephew (SN). Matthews at White & Case noted that traditional activists no longer have this field to themselves: “It’s not just hedge funds; the activism playbook is being deployed by many other types of investors — for example, private equity, credit funds and family offices.” Billionaires could be added to the list, with candidates such as Martin Ebner’s Patinex, which has a stake in FTSE 100 telecoms group Vodafone (VOD), and India’s Sunil Bharti Mittal with a 25% stake in BT (BT.A). Boards can view activists with suspicion as they may fear for their own positions. Take Saba, for instance: its focus on the investment trust sector has involved some personal engagement. Directors also face the prospect of having to explain why they do not agree with analysis put forward by activists. Kunal Gandhi, senior managing director at Fenchurch Advisory, stressed: “What companies don’t want to waste time on are non-researched views which don’t have a lot of substance behind them.” Matthews, though, said boards could see it as getting good-quality advice without having to pay for it: “Activism done well is a force for good … Unlike private equity, who typically buy the whole company and then seek to improve it, activists buy a minority stake — for example, 3 to 5% — and then deploy their energies and incur costs to push for change in a manner that benefits all the other shareholders, too. “Companies can certainly extract benefit from activism by thinking about it in the right way. In a sense, it can be a bit like free management consultancy.” Gandhi said even the threat of activism is having an influence in boardrooms — whether there is an activist present or not — as companies know what these investors are looking for in their targets: a lower valuation than peers; insufficient strategic actions; and rivals doing more. “This is why when boardrooms announce strategy days, you can see an increased level of [financial] guidance,” he said. “You can call most investors activists these days and … boardrooms and management teams have [now] become their own self-activists.” Associated British Foods (ABF), one of the stalwarts of the FTSE 100, might be an example of this as it considers whether to spin out its Primark clothing chain. Gandhi expects a new wave of activism that moves beyond traditional demands to cut costs or look at capital allocation — and looks more into the strategic direction of the company. “In 2024-5, a lot of the demands were around capital returns and cost cutting. As we go into 2026, those themes are evolving,” he said. “They are looking into [issues such as] is the strategic direction right, have we got the right management in place?” While the data from Alvarez & Marsal showed a drop in public campaigns by activists last year on the London market, due to the uncertainty created by Donald Trump’s tariffs on American imports, City advisers reckon pressure is increasingly being applied behind the scenes. Activists can go unnoticed by the wider world if they keep stakes below the thresholds at which they have to disclose them for regulatory purposes — usually, 3% or 5%. They also use derivatives such as equity options and swaps to quietly increase their stakes. “The balance has shifted towards more private engagement and fewer publicly observable campaigns,” said Matthews, who reckoned this was a sign that Britain’s approach to activism is becoming more sophisticated than it was several years ago, when activism was a newer phenomenon. “People often talk about activism being like the tip of an iceberg: the bulk of the iceberg sits underneath the water and that’s the private engagement that goes on all the time.” Try telling that to Owen at Palace Capital. He is starting 2026 with a very public focus on his tenure — and may have some justification for feeling a little hard done by. One of Lakestreet’s main gripes is that costs are too high at a company that is winding down, selling off investments and returning the cash to shareholders. Since July 2022, Palace Capital has sold more than £160 million of assets, repaid all its bank debt and returned over £64 million of cash to shareholders. Rightly or wrongly, this is evidently not enough for Lakestreet.

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1/2/2026

Will Japan's M&A Boom Continue in 2026?

Nikkei Asia (01/02/26) Sigami, Maki; Obe Mitsuru

Mergers and acquisitions involving Japanese companies surged to an all-time high in 2025. Deals depend on many factors, both internal and external, so it is hard to predict precisely what's to come, but investment bankers are broadly upbeat, predicting that last year's strong activity could be the beginning of a secular uptrend. Japanese corporate managers used to be passive about M&A, said Yoichi Yamasaki, managing director at Houlihan Lokey in Japan. They considered it if they were broached by investment bankers, but not otherwise. "They've become much more proactive. They now approach investment bankers rather than the other way round, with a clear vision about how they want to grow their business and what kind of assets they are looking for." The change became more evident in the last five years as asset divestiture became more common. The COVID pandemic served as an impetus by forcing companies to restructure. In the aftermath of COVID, the Tokyo Stock Exchange in 2023 urged listed companies to work harder to raise their share prices and prioritize shareholder interests. Guidelines were also issued from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry the same year urging companies to embrace takeover bids made in good faith. Corporate chieftains are also feeling pressure from shareholder activism. Management buy-outs (MBOs) are another trend to watch. In Japan, the number totaled a record 23 in the first nine months of 2025. But such deals may face more scrutiny this year from minority shareholders over buyout prices. An ongoing takeover battle over personal care products maker Mandom (4917) illustrates the challenge. The company's founding member announced an MBO in September with the help of a fund operator affiliated with CVC Capital Partners. Investors quickly took issue with the buyout price and started competing for control of the company. In November, management got close to a deal after reaching an agreement with the activists. But a counterbid from KKR (KKR) in December extended the battle into this year. "The hurdle for MBOs is likely to go up. More funds will be necessary along with a stronger story to make a company more valuable through an MBO," says Takashi Ohara, who leads the M&A practice at Bain & Co.'s Tokyo office.

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